Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.530679 0.591523 0.657318 0.733883 0.820696 0.916258 1.029670
2025-03-09 0.441315 0.526164 0.625153 0.749746 0.903184 1.086993 1.325394
2025-03-16 0.381735 0.475432 0.590303 0.742611 0.940923 1.192653 1.540005
2025-03-23 0.344488 0.444520 0.572225 0.748990 0.990103 1.311518 1.779193
2025-03-30 0.309567 0.411401 0.545878 0.738887 1.012786 1.393604 1.973886
2025-04-06 0.283181 0.386267 0.526547 0.734526 1.040405 1.482301 2.184874
2025-04-13 0.253019 0.352781 0.492027 0.704253 1.026089 1.506696 2.299662
2025-04-20 0.238342 0.339667 0.484733 0.712067 1.067690 1.617030 2.558682
2025-04-27 0.225602 0.328093 0.478331 0.719976 1.109202 1.730053 2.833881
2025-05-04 0.213744 0.316738 0.471060 0.725381 1.146449 1.838805 3.113459
2025-05-11 0.202376 0.305159 0.462337 0.727323 1.177545 1.939444 3.389606
2025-05-18 0.193702 0.297050 0.458255 0.736138 1.220426 2.063617 3.722633
2025-05-25 0.179988 0.280192 0.439278 0.719020 1.217838 2.108990 3.916262
2025-06-01 0.173521 0.274615 0.438269 0.732455 1.270565 2.260048 4.336442
2025-06-08 0.163863 0.263060 0.426382 0.725672 1.285490 2.341429 4.625585
2025-06-15 0.157365 0.256323 0.422080 0.731873 1.324810 2.473059 5.036713
2025-06-22 0.148704 0.245314 0.409605 0.722031 1.332310 2.542178 5.321125
2025-06-29 0.141642 0.236621 0.400573 0.717783 1.350140 2.633647 5.667484
2025-07-06 0.131268 0.221492 0.379105 0.688287 1.314785 2.610767 5.746157
2025-07-13 0.127137 0.217230 0.376993 0.695901 1.355618 2.753717 6.238473
2025-07-20 0.123282 0.213219 0.375046 0.703606 1.397203 2.902500 6.766895
2025-07-27 0.119337 0.208801 0.372030 0.708873 1.433958 3.044236 7.298745
2025-08-03 0.115203 0.203786 0.367550 0.710765 1.463446 3.172321 7.814436